@brad_setser
CFR senior fellow. Views are my own. Writes on sovereign debt, trade, fx reserves and capital flows.
World & Business
Brad Setser says monthly imports of computers and ships topped a $1 trillion annual pace in September.
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The cap eases pressure on Europe's auto industry, but CFR fellow Brad Setser says the EU's trade policy remains incomplete.
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Semiconductor exports climbed 259% to $56.4 billion, while the trade surplus reached $42.5 billion.
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Axios reports consumer spending and AI investment likely drove growth, but semiconductor imports may offset some of the boost.
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POLITICO reports the projected shortfall includes €40 billion for defense and €30 billion for Ukraine’s national budget.
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A post argues China's headline data no longer supports a surplus-peak claim; first-half figures reflected surging gold imports.
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The Financial Times reports that China is squeezing supplies of the critical rare earth.
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A post says China’s holdings fell $27 billion to $591 billion in August 2026; Japan’s fell $36 billion.
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The FT reports the condition; a commentator says alignment on plug-in hybrids and battery-electric vehicles currently means somewhat different things.
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Brad Setser cites a jump in Canadian holdings and a June survey as evidence China uses a Canadian custodian.
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Brad Setser says East Asia's three-month customs surplus topped $2 trillion annualized, even with relatively high oil prices.
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WatcherGuru reported the September figure on October 14, 2026; AP says exports surged 36.3% from a year earlier.
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A user says gold-trade figures should account for bars, technically metal shapes, as well as the gold line item.
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CPCA's preliminary figures also show a 10% monthly rebound and new-energy vehicles reaching 67.1% of retail volume.
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A post also points to Taiwan, saying Taiwanese and other contract manufacturers have moved to Mexico for final assembly.
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CNBC reports Europe's trade chief called two days of Beijing talks with China's commerce minister a positive first step.
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The New York Times reports that China’s push to manufacture more at home is pressuring European industries and policymakers.
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One post says IMF recommendations for China include fiscal consolidation that, all else equal, would raise its current account surplus.
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Brad Setser puts Taiwan's September surplus close to $25 billion and Korea's at $50 billion, or around $900 billion annualized.
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A post says EU imports of Chinese hybrids rose to 500,000 cars in a market of just over 10 million.