Nathan 🔎

@nathanpmyoung

Lead, Goodheart Labs. AI-written Community Notes (world first). Part-time forecaster @swift_centre. Capital case tweets are literal, others less.

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Bayesian probabilities and model error in nuclear-attack simulations

A user warns that simulations estimating a 99.9% chance the US is under nuclear attack must account for model error.

2 Sources, 1d ago, first seen 1d ago

A wish to “pace the frontier of AI discourse”

A user writes, “i would like to pace the frontier of AI discourse.”

1 Source, 35d ago, first seen 35d ago

The argument that many would prefer extinction risk to an AI-fueled world government

The post imagines a single AI-fueled global government combining what its author considers the worst regulatory and social policies of the past 20 years.

63 Sources, 25d ago, updated 25d ago

Post alleges shared EA funding sources for Anthropic and AI ‘doomer’ groups

The author also includes someone referred to as Coxon in the claim, calling the alleged funding connection “not a conspiracy” but “just a fact.”

56 Sources, 29d ago, updated 29d ago

Do AI extinction warnings help or hurt safety efforts?

CBS Mornings reports that current and former Anthropic employees warned AI could kill all humans. Critics worry exaggerated forecasts could undermine trust, while a defender of numerical forecasts argues they convey the seriousness of the concern.