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@ben_moll
Sir John Hicks Professor of Economics, @LSEecon. Macroeconomics with distribution(s). Coeditor of the American Economic Review.
AI
The poster says surveyed Anthropic staff's answers imply median annual US GDP growth of 17.1% in 2030 under Anthropic's model.
AI
Automated sectors can shrink as goods get cheaper and spending moves elsewhere, the author says—a reason rapid AI progress may not translate into explosive economic growth.
AI
Colleagues at Google DeepMind take opposite sides in a wager on future economic growth.