ScienceWill AI "beat all fields" by 2028?
Elon Musk's forecast drew a challenge from Jürgen Schmidhuber, who argues that robots still cannot match a plumber or a capuchin monkey.
TLDR
On September 22, 2026, Elon Musk predicted that AI would "beat all fields" by the end of 2027 or perhaps 2028 at the latest. Quoting that forecast, Jürgen Schmidhuber disputed the timeline for science. He argued that AI's successes in digital tasks such as theorem proving and coding do not establish mastery of the physical world, which much of science requires. Schmidhuber expects superhuman physical AI eventually, but said it would take longer than two years.
Will AI "beat all fields" by 2028?
Elon Musk's forecast drew a challenge from Jürgen Schmidhuber, who argues that robots still cannot match a plumber or a capuchin monkey.