Roon Defends LessWrong Track Record on Predictions
OpenAI researcher replies to e/acc co-founder criticizing LessWrong forecasts.
TLDR
Pseudonymous OpenAI technical staff member roon replied to e/acc co-founder bayeslord after the latter posted a strongly worded reaction to LessWrong post 163. Bayeslord framed the post as evidence of impending catastrophe. Roon stated that anyone still doubting LessWrong's accuracy on most issues would not make it. The exchange highlights ongoing disputes between rationalist communities and accelerationist voices over the reliability of prior AI-related forecasts.
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