/AI9h ago

MIT FutureTech study finds 272 AI experts assign at least a 10% chance of catastrophe to 18 risks

Top concerns include cyberattacks, weapons misuse, and centralized power.

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Seán Ó hÉigeartaigh@S_OhEigeartaigh#1457inAI

I was delighted to participate in this Delphi study of AI risks, alongside hundreds of top experts. Huge thanks to the MIT FutureTech team for the carefully-designed project. A very useful contribution: check out the findings below!

9:52 AM · Jun 3, 2026 · 1.1K Views
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Cas (Stephen Casper)@StephenLCasper

Cool project! Should experts expect to be well-calibrated? No. But that's not the point. Tomorrow, if climate scientists said that they expect at 10% chance of catastrophic warming or military analysts said that there was a 10% chance of a nuclear bomb dropping this year, the right reaction is to worry, not be a pedant.

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