@GaryMarcus Just like the internet, with its boom-and-bust cycles, we'll have winners and losers. But the winners will be unimaginably huge, just as today's internet companies could not have been imagined back in 2000.
Three Predictions:
1. Some form of AI, probably neurosymbolic in nature, will come that is far more economical and data- and energy-efficient than LLMs, and it will make an absolute fortune.
2. LLMs, on the other hand, will never be all that profitable (aside from the chip companies selling shovels in the gold rush).
3. Today’s gigantic bets are premature, and most won’t pay off.