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126 Comments
- robuk24, on 11/14/2007, -3/+108"Sorry this site no longer supports Firefox, Safari or Opera browsers. Please install Internet Explorer 8 sp4"
- akkibaba, on 11/14/2007, -2/+881999 called, they want their overinflated valuations back. Grab the money and run, Zuckerberg.
- krabat, on 11/14/2007, -0/+49If the trend with these social sites and money keeps going, pretty soon everyone's Digg profile will be worth at least $20.
- MontyZooma, on 11/14/2007, -4/+50Bubble 2.0, abandon all hope!
- kent1146, on 11/14/2007, -1/+46The title smacks of late 1990's bubble mentality. There's a BIG difference between being worth $15 billion, and having someone actually pay $15 billion. One turn of the market, and that $15 billion could evaporate within months.
- mgalvin, on 10/10/2007, -9/+47Facebook is very simply *NOT* worth any-billion anythings.
- saggygrandma, on 11/14/2007, -1/+38MSN Facebook Live: 2007 Edition
- Aaronontheweb, on 10/10/2007, -1/+34Honestly Facebook needs to show us the money; I know there is an entire generation's worth of marketing data sitting on their servers, but can they monetize it well enough to float above their back end costs?
- diggmemphis, on 10/10/2007, -3/+21With projected top line revenue of $150 million and earnings of $30 million for 2007, a $15 billion valuation would give the company P/E ration of 500!
Stated differently, Facebook would need to perform at least as well as it has this year for the next 500 years to breakeven on the investment. Oh and that doesn't even take into consideration the lost time value of the money. All said, anyone buying at that valuation wouldn't see even a penny of profit for approaching 600 years.
Bubble 2.0 - resplence, on 10/10/2007, -1/+19Indeed.
"without Zuckerberg having to surrender any meaningful control over the company"
Microsoft is not the kind of company that just leaves others be. - Orkahm52, on 10/10/2007, -1/+18Orkut?
- chris9902, on 10/10/2007, -1/+18Soon he's going to have sharks with frickin' laser beams.
- sethosayher, on 10/10/2007, -1/+13Facebook ain't what it used to be. When I joined it last year, I found it infinitely superior to myspace, which suffered from crappy site design and seizure-inducing monstrosities of amateur html. Then facebook apps came out, and while some are pretty entertaining or helpful, the vast majority are totally superfluous and are installed on facebook accounts in legion. My sister's facebook had so many apps that the wall - the core of facebook - took up the bottom 1/16th of the page. I had navigate through never-ending "daily Dr. Cox quote" and Harry Potter apps. A real horror.
- plizard, on 10/10/2007, -1/+12VERY good point.
- inactive, on 10/10/2007, -1/+12 How stupid can these investors be? Just like people fled Myspace for Facebook the same can happen here. It's not like buying Coca Cola Co. which can't easily be replaced in 6 months.
- heifetz, on 10/10/2007, -1/+11A lot of the value of Facebook is it's exclusive social network. If google's open social network ever takes off, say goodbye to the 15 billion valuation, because the barrier to entry for a new social networking site will be very very low.
Someone should check if AOL ever made a dime from AIM. - deadsQuerl, on 10/10/2007, -0/+9Haha, 500.. just to let people know, a PE ratio of around 20 is considered normal.
- dafragsta, on 10/10/2007, -1/+10I hope this big fat red herring does sell for $15 billion to Microsoft. It'd be like the Tasmanian Devil eating that chicken made of dynamite.
- john2kx, on 10/10/2007, -2/+10they already blew their wad on youtube. I'm sure they don't want to make the same mistake twice.
- asauterChicago, on 10/10/2007, -2/+10"Sorry it appears your using a Macintosh or Linux based computer. Please upgrade your computer to view this site correctly. We recommend: Windows Vista Home-Office Platinum Media Edition (Sp3)! Click Here!"
- directive0, on 10/10/2007, -1/+9You just made me throw up in my mouth a little bit.
- barkingmoonbat, on 10/10/2007, -0/+8I use it to stalk my ex-girlfriends.
- Murdats, on 10/10/2007, -0/+7I cant believe anyone would choose myspace over anything.
if I didnt believe that people used myspace purely because of ignorance/mental defficiency/pestered to join by people of the above catagories I would break down and cry uncontrollably untill I die. - carnag3aus, on 10/10/2007, -0/+7Worth is in the eye of the beholder.
- anamericangod, on 10/10/2007, -2/+8Cool, now we can deal with even more privacy violations!
- crazybugger, on 10/10/2007, -0/+6Integrate.
- luchid, on 10/10/2007, -2/+8You have to pay extra to be able to poke friends... And sometimes it won't work.
- irregardless, on 10/10/2007, -0/+6This decade is starting to look like the last decade.
- has2k1, on 10/10/2007, -1/+6I don't know if digging you up will make your prediction come to hold. Anyways, what to lose I will give you a digg while I open up other digg accounts.
- KevenM, on 10/10/2007, -0/+5It's BEAUTY that's in the eye of the beholder. WORTH is what you paid for that hooker.
- luchid, on 10/10/2007, -3/+8If Microsoft buys them, they will ruin it. Look at every single one of their acquisitions. The web is just not their thing. Look at Soapbox (Now MSN Live Video Super Ultimate Extra Turbo Edition), Windows Live Spaces (it's so awful it's not even funny, its interface seems to have been designed by the same guy who though brown was a good color for an mp3 player), or pretty much any other of their web assets.
On the other hand, Facebook is a perfect choice for Google. Contacts straight into Gmail, pictures synced and centralized in Picasa Web Albums, Event sharing and planning with Google Calendar, Document colaboration, etc. - JoshuaGross, on 10/10/2007, -0/+5@ sum point u hav 2 lern 2 spel
- deadsQuerl, on 10/10/2007, -0/+55% stake won't give Microsoft much control at all.
- Faustey, on 10/10/2007, -3/+8I don't think that people really understand how fickle internet users can be. I have lost count of how many sites used to get daily visits from me that I now have completely forgotten. Facebook was fun and I started using it before I or anyone else had heard of it. it was great when everyone jumped on and you could into contact with people who you had lost touch with but now... not so much. Too many annoying apps, no new friends, less excitment, bloated. The simplicity was great but I think it is already going down hill. Yeah they have a lot of information on a whole bunch of young people but we are a generation that has been bombarded with ads since before we could walk. Are they really going to be able to suddenly reach us because they know our favourite movies or books? Then again a lot of people buy a lot of stupid *****...
- tetfsu, on 10/10/2007, -0/+4Maybe to replace Orkut, but not to integrate... IMO Orkut can't hold a candle to FB.
- fr0mundacheese, on 10/14/2007, -2/+6oh SNAP!
- danubecities, on 10/10/2007, -0/+4Facebook is the next MySpace and MySpace was the next Friendster.
- ICSU, on 10/10/2007, -0/+4Back top basic economics. Everything is worth whatever someone pays for it.
- asauterChicago, on 10/10/2007, -1/+5As it sits right now, privately owned, I would say there are many ways they could effectively monetize the site. Continue to grow more critical mass and I would say they could turn a pretty good profit. But for 10 billion, 15 billion? That's alot of money to make up, even in the long run. They better find one _hell_ of way to monetize it at that point.
- krabat, on 10/10/2007, -0/+4Well, on the Wall Street Journal This Morning radio program, they mentioned this same story, but also mentioned that Google had also expressed interest in doing the same.
- m3mn0n, on 10/10/2007, -0/+3I dugg him down before he even posted that.
- enzomedici, on 10/10/2007, -3/+6Facebook is crap. Anyone that pays $15 billion for that is an idiot.
- bzaks, on 10/10/2007, -0/+3I wouldn't trust Microsoft to buy anything that's not already built on their technology.
Not to mention, being a fan boy who can't spell "intimate" one could appreciate you keeping your words to yourself. (Especially when there's a flipping spell check button right next to "Submit Comment") - MScrip, on 10/10/2007, -1/+4I don't like the new Facebook either. But, I just deny any application request. I don't want to be bitten by a zombie or become a pirate.
I will, however, still use Facebook as my e-mail and photo sharing center. I do most of my friend messaging through Facebook. Why? Because all my friends are on it. And I don't have many e-mail address for my friends. Facebook is my address book.
Photos too. I have a Flickr account and a Webshots account. But, I'd rather put my photos on Facebook, so my friends will automatically be told when I have new photos. It's the whole "networking" part of social networking.
I don't use Facebook because it's "cool" or "new"; I use it because it's part of my daily routine. Just like answering my cell phone and checking my Gmail. Every time I log into Facebook, it tells me something new about my friends. It's interesting. When I check my Gmail, however, I get boring emails from companies... not friends. - thewoodman, on 10/10/2007, -0/+3Doing some quick maths that means (leaving advertising revenue to one side) that my page is worth at least $380. I am demanding some money now!!!
- mojaam, on 10/10/2007, -0/+3"Facebook was fun and I started using it before I or anyone else had heard of it."
Enlighten us with your powers of using nonexistent things. - bobbyi, on 10/10/2007, -3/+6And don't forget about hotmail, still languishing in first place with only 260 million users.
- thewump, on 10/10/2007, -1/+4I guess Microsoft own network site, http://www.wallop.com has gone down like a turd on a beach then.
- ronin691, on 10/10/2007, -0/+2I believe its more an issue of developing an effective algorithm that makes use of all that juicy 18-35 year old usage data and PROFITABLY connects it to advertisers. Once done, it can be cloned off for international markets. That's worth billions, yes. Google's AdSense/AdWord + search engine usage data is worth what? 400 billion?
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