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Whatever Happened to Real Science?

holoscience.com — "Do we need to change the definition of science?" Unfortunately, some say yes. Falsifiability has long been regarded by many scientists as a trusty weapon for fending off the menace of pseudoscience. Now some scientists are trying to substitute [statistical] "relative plausibility" rather than falsifiability as the cornerstone of science.

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  • mgmirkin, on 05/18/2008, -0/+1One is tempted to point out that "Appeal to Probability" is a logical fallacy, according to Wikipedia. Do we really want science's foundation to become potentially fallacious?

    (Appeal to Probability)
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Appeal_to_probability

    "The logical idea behind this fallacy is usually that, if the probability of P occurring is approaching 1, it is best to assume that P will occur, since it will almost surely happen." (Retrieved from Wikipedia at 7:02pm on 5-17-08)

    Probability =/= Actuality, logically speaking. Just because thre's some non-zero change of a thing happening or being true, does not mean that it actually happens or is true.

    ~Michael Gmirkin

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