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5 Comments
- Yeyui, on 07/14/2008, -0/+10I'll take the cue from the article and compute the probability of Batman:
The current world population is roughly World 6,709,979,465 (according to the US Census Bureau at 16:02 GMT (EST+5) on Jul 14, 2008)
There 946 (known) current billionaires in the world which is roughly 0.0000141% or the world population.
There are roughly 13,000 Olympic athletes in a given Olympiad (official max of 10,500 at the summer games and roughly 2,500 for the winter games -- there were 2,508 in 2006) which is roughly 0.0001937% of the world population.
If we assume that being an Olympian and a being a billionaire are independent events (a very bad assumption, but one I will make anyway) we get that the probability of any given human being both as roughly 0.0000000000273144277685%
If we further assume that the only reason that someone would be both an Olympic athlete and a billionaire is to become "Batman", then the probability that there is at least one "Batman" in the world this year is:
1-(1-946/6709979465*13000/6709979465)^6709979465 which is roughly .1810054328% or 1 in 552. Not bad really, esspecially compared to the odds of Spiderman or Superman.
Of course the percent will be higher if we widen our search to potential Olympians rather than actual Olympians, or look at people who competed in previous Olympiads. - wiseasgandalf, on 07/14/2008, -0/+3this is actually a very serious and fascinating article on the physical athletic requirements for someone to be able to perform like the batman.
- ijake, on 07/16/2008, -0/+2So, what he's saying is, we can all be the goddamn batman.
- inactive, on 08/06/2008, -0/+1Dugg up for use of statistics. Stay in school kids.
- CaptainMac, on 07/17/2008, -0/+1This is fascinating stuff - Mythbusters did something similar looking at the gadgets and gizmos Batman and other superheroes use, and whether they could make them work in real life.


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