Fed rate-hike expectations and the case for holding steady
A September 15 post says central bank watchers overwhelmingly expect a hike that week and another by year-end. Another argues that cooling core inflation supports holding rates steady.
TLDR
A September 15 post says central bank watchers overwhelmingly expect a Fed rate hike that week and a second before the end of 2026. A September 16 trading post lists the decision for 2 p.m. ET that day and forecasts an increase from 3.50%–3.75% to 3.75%–4.00%, followed by a press conference at 2:30 p.m.
The case against a hike comes from a separate post recounting a CNBC appearance. Its author argues that core inflation is easing and that raising rates as inflation declines, after holding in June and July, could undermine the Fed’s credibility.
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