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US Q2 GDP Revised to 2.2%, Signaling Resilient Growth Amid Inflation Concerns

The Commerce Department's final Q2 2026 GDP estimate showed annualized growth of 2.2%, up from 1.5%, driven by stronger consumer spending and business investment. PCE inflation held steady at 3.4% YoY, while private payrolls added 90k jobs.

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1 Source, 2h ago, first seen 2h ago

TLDR

The data demonstrates US economic resilience amid geopolitical tensions and underscores mixed signals of strong growth coupled with firm inflation. Markets reacted with lower rate-hike odds for October (now ~37-40% per FedWatch) and easing Treasury yields, boosting soft-landing optimism. However, persistent inflation raises questions about the Fed's policy path and implications for bonds, the dollar, and equities. High engagement on X reflects investor concern about balancing growth and price stability.

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Combined views

15.7K

1 Source, first seen 2h ago

1.3K likes82 comments126 saves496 reposts

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Sentiment

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@leahfilesInflation numbers came out today, and the official story is that inflation went down. What the headline number doesn't tell you is that the government changed how inflation is calculated in the same release. A month ago, they said July inflation was 3.7%. Today, they recalculated July with the new formula and it dropped to 3.36%. If you measure August the same way as the months before it, inflation comes out around 3.8%, which means it went up. They didn't bring inflation down, they just changed how they calculate it. Bessent did something similar with CPI last month. You only modify the way you calculate if they numbers are that bad. They genuinely thought we wouldn't notice...
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    1 Source

    @leahfilesInflation numbers came out today, and the official story is that inflation went down. What the headline number doesn't tell you is that the government changed how inflation is calculated in the same release. A month ago, they said July inflation was 3.7%. Today, they recalculated July with the new formula and it dropped to 3.36%. If you measure August the same way as the months before it, inflation comes out around 3.8%, which means it went up. They didn't bring inflation down, they just changed how they calculate it. Bessent did something similar with CPI last month. You only modify the way you calculate if they numbers are that bad. They genuinely thought we wouldn't notice...
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