Anthropic’s extreme AI scenario puts US output at $44.4 trillion by 2030

Anthropic’s economic model puts 2030 US output at $34.1 trillion in a modest AI scenario, $36.3 trillion in a substantial one and $44.4 trillion in an extreme case. The biggest figure assumes rapid adoption of systems that outperform people at most knowledge work, while also producing unusually high unemployment, lower knowledge-worker wages and a greater share of income flowing to capital. Co-founder Jack Clark urged governments to act quickly on AI safeguards.