Expectations for the Fed's first rate hike in 38 months
A September 16, 2026 post predicts a Fed hike that day. A separate analysis argues that the 10-year Treasury yield's reaction could matter more for crypto than the rate decision itself.
TLDR
A September 16, 2026 post says the Fed is expected to raise rates that day for the first time in 38 months, which would also mark the first hike under Chair Kevin Warsh. Another post argues that crypto watchers should focus on the subsequent reaction in 10-year Treasury yields. It suggests a marked decline could signal markets pricing in less long-term interest-rate and inflation pressure, with financial conditions potentially easing. If yields stay around 5% or rise, particularly alongside the dollar index and real interest rates, it warns that pressure on risk assets could persist through the fourth quarter.
Expectations for the Fed's first rate hike in 38 months
A September 16, 2026 post predicts a Fed hike that day. A separate analysis argues that the 10-year Treasury yield's reaction could matter more for crypto than the rate decision itself.
