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World & Business

Brent reportedly traded $5 a barrel above its pre-pipeline-strike level

A September 17, 2026 post says near-term Brent futures had rebounded from the day's lows but were still roughly $5 a barrel below recent highs.

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2 Sources, 14d ago, first seen 14d ago

TLDR

A September 17 market update says near-term Brent futures were roughly $5 a barrel below recent highs, yet still $5 above their level before the East-West Pipeline was struck. It also says the premium for nearer deliveries over later ones remained substantially larger than before the strike.

Separate commentary argues that the Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb give Tehran and the Houthis leverage over energy prices—and, in turn, inflation and interest rates.

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441.1K

2 Sources, first seen 14d ago

6.6K likes108 comments1.6K saves1.1K reposts

Combined views

441.1K

2 Sources, first seen 14d ago

6.6K likes108 comments1.6K saves1.1K reposts

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Sentiment

Positive——Negative

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2 Sources

@CRUDEOIL231Hands down one of the greatest dark memes I’ve seen in my entire career. I know folks on the commodity desk already knows how this math works, but just for the broader timeline and the math-challenged folks out there... The Taylor Rule is traditionally used to calculate a central bank’s optimal policy rate: i = r* + p* + 1.5(p - p*) + 0.5(y - y*) (i = nominal rate, r* = neutral rate, p* = 2% target, p - p* = inflation gap, y - y* = output gap). Dr. Ghalibaf basically jammed two brand new variables into this classic framework, the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab-el-Mandeb. He's flexing that global CPI and terminal rates are dictated by their maritime choke points... Honestly crown the man Meme King already. And the wild part? He’s not even lying. Does today's Fed decision even matter in the grand scheme? Give it a few days, and we’ll all be recalibrating the next FOMC print purely around energy prices—which ironically are being priced by Tehran and the Houthis. The guy isn't wrong. Welcome to the new macro regime. #oott #iran
@Rory_JohnstonOil back off its lows for the day. Flat prompt Brent futures price (white) ~$5/bbl off its recent highs but still $5/bbl higher than before the East-West Pipeline was struck last Thursday. Same story for prompt Brent timespreads (blue), off their highs but well more backwardated than before the EW hit.
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    2 Sources

    @CRUDEOIL231Hands down one of the greatest dark memes I’ve seen in my entire career. I know folks on the commodity desk already knows how this math works, but just for the broader timeline and the math-challenged folks out there... The Taylor Rule is traditionally used to calculate a central bank’s optimal policy rate: i = r* + p* + 1.5(p - p*) + 0.5(y - y*) (i = nominal rate, r* = neutral rate, p* = 2% target, p - p* = inflation gap, y - y* = output gap). Dr. Ghalibaf basically jammed two brand new variables into this classic framework, the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab-el-Mandeb. He's flexing that global CPI and terminal rates are dictated by their maritime choke points... Honestly crown the man Meme King already. And the wild part? He’s not even lying. Does today's Fed decision even matter in the grand scheme? Give it a few days, and we’ll all be recalibrating the next FOMC print purely around energy prices—which ironically are being priced by Tehran and the Houthis. The guy isn't wrong. Welcome to the new macro regime. #oott #iran
    @Rory_JohnstonOil back off its lows for the day. Flat prompt Brent futures price (white) ~$5/bbl off its recent highs but still $5/bbl higher than before the East-West Pipeline was struck last Thursday. Same story for prompt Brent timespreads (blue), off their highs but well more backwardated than before the EW hit.
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