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    Philip E. Tetlock

    650Following126Top Followers48.0KTotal Followers

    BIO

    Penn-Integrates-Knowledge (PIK) Professor, Wharton & School of Arts & Sciences. Likes = interesting; Retweets = very interesting; Interesting ≠ endorsement

    @PTetlock

    Vibe and topics

    Based on 199 recent X posts · click a vibe for evidence

    Vibe
    Teaching
    Teaching28%
    Informing23.4%
    Provocative15.3%
    Supportive11.2%
    Humorous8.9%
    Hopeful4.8%
    Devil's Advocate3.8%
    Banter2.7%
    Other1.9%
    Topics
    Superforecasting
    Superforecasting33.7%
    Cognitive Biases27.7%
    Politicized Psychology18.4%
    AI Forecasting9.6%
    Forecasting Research Institute3.6%
    Adversarial Collaborations2.5%
    Nuclear Proliferation Forecasts2.3%
    Implicit Bias2.1%

    Top followers

    #23

    Hugo Larochelle

    @hugo_larochelle

    Mila Scientific Director. Scientific Lead @adaption_ai, advisor @tiptreesystems & @PrizmalAi. Ex @Google DeepMind & Twitter Cortex. Father of 4.

    #30

    Sam Bowman

    @sleepinyourhat

    AI alignment + LLMs at Anthropic. On leave from NYU. Views not employers'. No relation to @s8mb. Into @givingwhatwecan.

    #45

    Jack Clark

    @jackclarkSF

    @AnthropicAI, writer @ Import AI. Past: @openai, @business @theregister. Neural nets, distributed systems, weird futures.

    #59

    Dwarkesh Patel

    @dwarkesh_sp

    Host of @dwarkeshpodcast https://www.youtube.com/DwarkeshPatel https://open.spotify.com/show/4JH4tybY1zX6e5hjCwU6gF https://apple.co/3ujLQkZ

    #99

    Liam Fedus

    @LiamFedus

    Building industrial-scale science at @periodiclabs Past: VP of Post-Training @OpenAI; Google Brain

    #132

    Arvind Narayanan

    @random_walker

    Princeton CS prof and Director @PrincetonCITP. Coauthor of "AI Snake Oil" and "AI as Normal Technology". https://www.normaltech.ai/ Views mine.

    #152

    Amanda Askell

    @AmandaAskell

    Philosopher & ethicist trying to make AI be good @AnthropicAI. Personal account. All opinions come from my training data.

    #172

    Vinod Khosla

    @vkhosla

    entrepreneurship zealot, grounded technology possibilist, believer in the power of ideas, passionate about sustainability & impact; @Seahawks & @12s fan

    #173

    Joshua Achiam

    @jachiam0

    Freedom, flourishing, and abundance. Prev: @openai. Main author of http://spinningup.openai.com

    #190

    Ethan Mollick

    @emollick

    Professor @Wharton studying AI. New book, Co-Existence, coming October 20. Preorder here: https://co-existence.ai/ Substack: https://www.oneusefulthing.org/

    #196

    Eric Horvitz

    @erichorvitz

    Chief Scientific Officer, Microsoft

    #233

    rishi

    @RishiBommasani

    Senior Research Scholar @StanfordHAI focused on economics and governance of frontier AI Previous: Stanford CS PhD @percyliang @jurafsky, Cornell CS

    #235

    Adam D'Angelo

    @adamdangelo

    CEO of Quora, working on Poe: @poe_platform

    #279

    Jacob Eisenstein

    @jacobeisenstein

    I post about politics here, research at @jacobeisenstein.bsky.social

    #285

    Dhruv Batra

    @DhruvBatra_

    Co-founder & Chief Scientist @yutori_ai. Prev: Senior Director leading FAIR Embodied AI @MetaAI and Professor @GeorgiaTech.

    #286

    Shimon Whiteson

    @shimon8282

    Research Director at Google DeepMind

    #318

    Peyman Milanfar

    @docmilanfar

    Distinguished Scientist at Google. National Academy of Engineering. Computational Imaging ∩ AI. Posts are personal opinions

    #336

    Alex Tamkin

    @AlexTamkin

    machine learning, science & society @AnthropicAI | recently: Clio, Anthropic Economic Index, Claude Artifacts | prev: phd @StanfordAILab, @stanfordnlp

    #349

    Owain Evans

    @OwainEvans_UK

    Director of Truthful AI (non-profit AI safety research group) + Affiliate at UC Berkeley. Work: Emergent misalignment, subliminal learning. Prefer email to DM.

    #350

    Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️

    @ESYudkowsky

    The original AI alignment person. Understanding the reasons it's difficult since 2003. This is my serious low-volume account. Follow @allTheYud for the rest.

    #362

    Richard Ngo

    @RichardMCNgo

    eppur lo si può muovere

    #483

    Ari Holtzman

    @universeinanegg

    Asst Prof @UChicagoCS & @DSI_UChicago, leading Conceptualization Lab http://conceptualization.ai Minting new vocabulary to conceptualize generative models.

    #484

    Leo Gao

    @nabla_theta

    working on AGI alignment. prev: GPT-Neo, the Pile, LM evals, RL overoptimization, scaling SAEs to GPT-4, interp via circuit sparsity. EleutherAI cofounder.

    #491

    Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)

    @teortaxesTex

    We're in a race. It's not USA vs China but humans and AGIs vs ape power centralization. @deepseek_ai stan #1, 2023–Deep Time «C’est la guerre.» ®1

    #498

    Erik Torenberg

    @eriktorenberg

    General Partner @a16z. Positive-sum. Striving for a thousand year heart. Worldbuilding @mtslive @theacademysf @cosign

    #595

    Helen Toner

    @hlntnr

    AI, national security, China. Part of the founding team at @CSETGeorgetown (opinions my own). Author of Rising Tide on substack: http://helentoner.substack.com

    #649

    Alan Ritter

    @alan_ritter

    Computing professor at Georgia Tech - NLP, ML, AI

    #656

    Ajeya Cotra

    @ajeya_cotra

    Helping the world prepare for powerful AI. Risk assessment @METR_evals (opinions my own). Blogs: Planned Obsolescence (AI), Good Bones (whatever's on my mind).

    #677

    Yo Shavit

    @yonashav

    ai resilience @foundationOAI. Past: @openai / @HarvardSEAS / @SchmidtFutures / @MIT_CSAIL. Tweets my own; on my head be it.

    #687

    Dustin Moskovitz

    @moskov

    #743

    heiner

    @HeinrichKuttler

    ex @xAI, @InflectionAI, @AIatMeta, @DeepMind, PhD math-ph. Opinions my own. (Can be yours for a small fee.)

    #772

    Devon ☀️

    @devonzuegel

    I've gone to look for myself. If I return before I get back, please ask me to wait. Building @Esmeralda_Inst. Prev @GitHub @NotionHQ @Affirm @StanfordReview

    #790

    Daniel Kokotajlo

    @DKokotajlo

    #793

    Sayash Kapoor

    @sayashk

    Incoming prof @UCBerkeley AI agents, policy, evals, AI for science Essay/newsletter (AI as Normal Technology): http://bit.ly/ai-nt Book (AI Snake Oil): http://bit.ly/ai-so

    #860

    Ted Sanders

    @sandersted

    Research at OpenAI. Be kind to others, and yourself.

    #914

    Ethan Caballero

    @ethanCaballero

    ML @Mila_Quebec ; previously @GoogleDeepMind

    #958

    david rein

    @idavidrein

    Leading embedded stress-testing @METR_Evals. Formerly: early employee @cohere, made GPQA @nyuniversity

    #966

    Dan Roberts

    @danintheory

    Scientist @OpenAI. Prev. co-founder @diffeo, acquired by @salesforce // co-authored The Principles of Deep Learning Theory // studied gravity.

    #977

    Reiner Pope

    @reinerpope

    CEO and founder, @MatXComputing, developing high throughput chips tailored for LLMs

    #980

    Kevin Rose

    @kevinrose

    Current: building all the things. helping reboot @digg. podcasting: The Random Show w/ @tferriss Ex: @google, @ouraring (board), @hodinkee (ceo/board)

    #1026

    William Isaac

    @wsisaac

    Principal Scientist @DeepMind | Previously @OSFellows & @hrdag. RT != endorsements. Opinions Mine. Pronouns: he/him| @williamis.bsky.social

    #1058

    Eugene Wei

    @eugenewei

    Former product guy at Amazon, Hulu, Flipboard, Oculus. Blog at http://www.eugenewei.com

    #1073

    Connor Leahy

    @NPCollapse

    US Director @ControlAI - Leave me anonymous feedback: http://bit.ly/3RZbu7x - I don't know how to save the world, but dammit I'm gonna try

    #1079

    Max Kleiman-Weiner

    @maxhkw

    professor @UW scientist @GoogleDeepMind. computational cognitive models of social minds and machines. founder @diffeo & @CSM_ai

    #1124

    Joe Carlsmith

    @jkcarlsmith

    Philosophy, futurism, AI. Working on Claude's values @AnthropicAI. Formerly @coeff_giving. Opinions my own.

    #1139

    Gokul Swamy

    @g_k_swamy

    recent phd graduate @CMU_Robotics, working on the algorithmic foundations and science of interactive decision-making. prefers email.

    #1164

    Jeremy Nixon - Automating AI Research

    @JvNixon

    Founder & CEO at Infinity @infinity_ai_. Prev. Research at @Google Brain & Math @Harvard.

    #1172

    Maksym Andriushchenko

    @maksym_andr

    Principal investigator @ELLISInst_Tue & @MPI_IS, advisor @expsecai, mentor @MATSprogram. Past projects: AgentHarm, Claudini, PostTrainBench, Stolen Thoughts.

    #1187

    Marius Hobbhahn

    @MariusHobbhahn

    CEO at Apollo Research @ApolloResearch prev. ML PhD with Philipp Hennig & AI forecasting @EpochAIResearch

    #1257

    Josh Woodward

    @joshwoodward

    VP, @Google @GoogleLabs @GeminiApp @GoogleAIStudio