Users dismiss the AI 2040 Plan A as implausible because its post-2029 assumptions about superintelligence seem ridiculous and lack credibility.
Based on 2 visible X reactions from 5 accounts; directional sample.
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@ViewToATweet The whole thing is based on a set of assumptions that don't make any sense to me, so basically none of it strikes me as plausible.
@ViewToATweet Like almost every paragraph once we get past 2029 or so.
I struggle with what to say about the new AI 2040: Plan A website. It all seems so implausible to me that I'm not sure where to start. There's an epistemic chasm between those who think superintelligence implies near-omnipotence and those (like me) who don't.
I've found that people believe it at such a deeply intuitive level that it's hard to have a meaningful discussion about it. Each side finds it baffling to encounter people with the opposite intuition, and on some level can't believe they're being serious.
tl;dr: Don't create more tools for global authoritarianism on the basis of sci-fi scenarios. https://twitter.com/binarybits/status/2075660927001608431
@ramez under epistemic uncertainty don't do things that close off options or make things worse, feels as useful a guideline as any.
Users dismiss the AI 2040 Plan A as implausible because its post-2029 assumptions about superintelligence seem ridiculous and lack credibility.
Based on 2 visible X reactions from 5 accounts; directional sample.
Ask a question below.
Published answers will appear here.
@ramez under epistemic uncertainty don't do things that close off options or make things worse, feels as useful a guideline as any.