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"Intelligence is often not the main bottleneck to things changing in the real world." Yes.
@binarybits When you say "intelligence" do you mean "the full set of cognitive capabilities" or something narrower?
AI discourse would be better if people said "cognitive capabilities" or referred to specific capabilities instead of saying "intelligence". The word is ambiguous: some use "intelligence" to mean "literally all cognitive capabilities" while others mean "stereotypical book smarts" This is all to say: AIs with cognitive capabilities that surpass humans in ~every domain are a huge deal, while AIs that do well on exam aren't necessarily a huge deal (except as evidence of more powerful AIs coming soon). In both humans and AIs, doing well on tests doesn't imply all other cognitive capabilities you might care about (though many are correlated) while the full set of cognitive capabilities is extremely important. Like yes, physical appearance matters a bit for success and luck matters quite a bit more, but people who succeed tend to be good at doing things! And (in todays economy) it isn't because fingers are better at typing or something! Both of these are invalid arguments: "AIs good at exams -> AIs intelligent -> these AIs will transform the world" and "define intelligence to mean being good at exams -> being good at exams doesn't mean you succeed -> some say 'extremely intelligent AIs would be transformative' but they're wrong because intelligence doesn't yield success". Don't conflate different meanings of the word intelligent!
@RyanGreenblatt I mean the full set of cognitive capabilities, but not necessarily including knowledge that might help people make decisions.