Many users rejected analogies likening humanoid robot prototypes to early electric cars as invalid and lacking facts on yield rates, durability, repairs, and manufacturing scalability.
Based on 3 visible X reactions from 4 accounts; directional sample.
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It's not valid at all. First, he's overly confident that he knows what Tesla has behind the curtain with Optimus. He's probably wrong. Second, saying prototypes are easy and production is hard is talking about them relative to each other. This never meant prototypes are easy. It's just saying that production will be harder. I'll also add that there is a certain quality and efficiency expectation with that. Basically, doing production well is much harder. There is a certain bar that Elon sets on that which gets him to the point where he can squeeze margins out of stuff others can't. In his opinion, doing production at that level is hard, way harder than the prototype. So, however hard it is to make the prototype, you can expect the production to be much harder. Until anyone is truly scaling humanoid robot production at that kind of level and quality, picking at that statement is entirely premature.
我不认可，不是适用于机器人。良率、耐用率不考虑吗？ 量大之后的维修又该如何处理？如果说良率差的话。有多少配件是新的？那制造这些配件的厂商需不需要磨合？产能爬坡需不需要爬？ 他的意思是特斯拉疯掉了，特斯拉在没有看到 Optimus 的前景和能力，就拆掉了 SX 的产线。然后另外正在建造一条年产 1000 万台的工厂。 同样的类比，semi在没有设计成型之前，他们有在建 semi的工厂吗？ 看到的都是观点观点观点，没有 Fact。
@DrKnowItAll16 No, you want that evolutionary approach, where the team in the lab is making something "interesting" every month, and every design needs to go thru the same "destructive" gauntlet.
I think the field is converging and that we will see mass production designs soon, but this seems true to me https://twitter.com/DrKnowItAll16/status/2076771782657261732
It's not valid at all. First, he's overly confident that he knows what Tesla has behind the curtain with Optimus. He's probably wrong. Second, saying prototypes are easy and production is hard is talking about them relative to each other. This never meant prototypes are easy. It's just saying that production will be harder. I'll also add that there is a certain quality and efficiency expectation with that. Basically, doing production well is much harder. There is a certain bar that Elon sets on that which gets him to the point where he can squeeze margins out of stuff others can't. In his opinion, doing production at that level is hard, way harder than the prototype. So, however hard it is to make the prototype, you can expect the production to be much harder. Until anyone is truly scaling humanoid robot production at that kind of level and quality, picking at that statement is entirely premature.
我不认可，不是适用于机器人。良率、耐用率不考虑吗？ 量大之后的维修又该如何处理？如果说良率差的话。有多少配件是新的？那制造这些配件的厂商需不需要磨合？产能爬坡需不需要爬？ 他的意思是特斯拉疯掉了，特斯拉在没有看到 Optimus 的前景和能力，就拆掉了 SX 的产线。然后另外正在建造一条年产 1000 万台的工厂。 同样的类比，semi在没有设计成型之前，他们有在建 semi的工厂吗？ 看到的都是观点观点观点，没有 Fact。
@DrKnowItAll16 No, you want that evolutionary approach, where the team in the lab is making something "interesting" every month, and every design needs to go thru the same "destructive" gauntlet.
I think the field is converging and that we will see mass production designs soon, but this seems true to me https://twitter.com/DrKnowItAll16/status/2076771782657261732
Many users rejected analogies likening humanoid robot prototypes to early electric cars as invalid and lacking facts on yield rates, durability, repairs, and manufacturing scalability.
Based on 3 visible X reactions from 4 accounts; directional sample.
Ask a question below.
Published answers will appear here.