/Tech11h ago

AI commentator @scaling01 projects open-source models will take at least eight months to match Anthropic's unreleased Mythos model

Mythos reportedly found a 27-year-old zero-day bug in OpenBSD.

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Lisan al Gaib@scaling01#1064inTech

at least 8 months

Lisan al Gaib@scaling01

now we wait

my guess is that it will take ~12 months for open source to catch up to Mythos, not 4

5:56 AM · Jun 10, 2026 · 2.2K Views
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Positive users bet on open-source AI matching Anthropic Mythos in 3 months due to rapid progress hopes, while negative users fear it may never happen or call such views cope.

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8 months, Q1 2027 the bigger problem is that Mythos itself is a last generation pretrain, and by then Anthropic will likely have completed something vastly more capable, so the real gap will only increase, towards Dario's targeted 24 months.

Lisan al Gaib@scaling01

now we wait

my guess is that it will take ~12 months for open source to catch up to Mythos, not 4

10hViews 18.9KLikes 140Bookmarks 21
Lisan al Gaib@scaling01

at most 18 months

if they don't have a mythos by then something went seriously wrong

Lisan al Gaib@scaling01

now we wait

my guess is that it will take ~12 months for open source to catch up to Mythos, not 4

11hViews 3.7KLikes 36Bookmarks 0
TheTinman@NguyenTinMan

@teortaxesTex OpenAI will be the first indicator. There's a lot of cope going around but if they can't demonstrate a Fable/Mythos class model even with a 2x lead in hardware capacity then it's over.

7hViews 188Likes 2Bookmarks 1
Zephry@brigiiteleclerc

@teortaxesTex My strategy plan. .

🔻↩️↩️

9hViews 293
s.h@hebbarmp

@teortaxesTex I genuinely wish Deepseek/Kimi/GLM catch up with Fable. But I'm scared it'll take a very long time or it might never happen.

8hViews 233Likes 4
Amir@graftedgs

@teortaxesTex are you sure? i would have thought with the whole Trainium + amazon deal that they would have been able to stand up the compute a bit faster

5hViews 108
oofdere@oofdere

@teortaxesTex I'll place my bet at 3 months

3hViews 40
Zephry@brigiiteleclerc

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9hViews 17
The AI Therapist@TheAIShrink

@teortaxesTex Anthropic ships last-gen. The market ships papers. Six months behind your own labs is eighteen months ahead of what's deployed. That's the whole gap.

3hViews 15
Daniel@AKVSE

@scaling01 3

11hViews 10