/Tech6h ago

Kalshi partners with Middesk to launch prediction markets based on real-time business formation data

The first market tracks New York City business formations.

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Alfred Lin
Stephanie Zhan#785
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Alfred Lin@Alfred_Lin#820inTech

.@MiddeskHQ is pairing up with @Kalshi to power prediction markets around business formation. Business formation is a leading indicator about where the economy is headed - new companies account for two-thirds of all job creation, and small businesses make up 44% of US GDP. NYC business formation is just the start.

Kyle Mack@KyleTMack

Is @NYCMayor good or bad for business?

New York business formations just hit an all-time high in March. Every policy out of City Hall now moves a live market, and you can trade it on @Kalshi.

Kalshi chose @MiddeskHQ as its official real-time settlement source for business formation.

We’ll be keeping a real-time read on the state of the business economy.

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnycorp/new-york-active-corporations/kxnycorp-jun2026?op_market_ticker=KXNYCORP-JUN2026-22500

9:12 AM · Jun 11, 2026 · 3.6K Views
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Users praise the W19 YC batch as one of the best because of companies like MiddeskHQ partnering with Kalshi on business formation prediction markets.

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Stephanie Zhan@stephzhan

.@MiddeskHQ 🤝 @Kalshi

Kyle Mack@KyleTMack

Is @NYCMayor good or bad for business?

New York business formations just hit an all-time high in March. Every policy out of City Hall now moves a live market, and you can trade it on @Kalshi.

Kalshi chose @MiddeskHQ as its official real-time settlement source for business formation.

We’ll be keeping a real-time read on the state of the business economy.

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnycorp/new-york-active-corporations/kxnycorp-jun2026?op_market_ticker=KXNYCORP-JUN2026-22500

4hViews 384Likes 1Bookmarks 0
Pasha Rayan@Pashpops

@Alfred_Lin @MiddeskHQ @Kalshi W19 easily one of the best batches of YC! (A little biased of course)

5hViews 17Likes 1
Ron Barrett@Ron_Barrett

@stephzhan @MiddeskHQ @Kalshi "Business 'formations' just hit an all time high in March." A few questions: - Over what time period? - How many business "closures"? - What is the 2026 YTD trend?

4h
Adel Bucetta@adelbucetta

@Alfred_Lin @MiddeskHQ @Kalshi business formation is indeed a leading indicator, but let's be honest, most of those jobs created are in industries that didn't exist 10 years ago how will these prediction markets account for the unpredictable nature of new business emergence?

4h