Gary Marcus Warns OpenAI Faces Persistent Financial Challenges

An almost perfect prediction of the current AI predicament — and what may ultimately unravel our entire economy — from almost three years ago (August 2023), at Marcus on AI:

Nearly every word remains true.

@GaryMarcus The last point is especially damning, imho.

@GaryMarcus ChatGPT just launched (or rather, expanded) their Ads product - do you think that'll meaningfully swing revenue for them? It's the oldest trick in the book and ChatGPT is pretty hot right now, attention-wise.

@GaryMarcus marcus been right on almost every point. still waiting on the killer app part

@GaryMarcus Half right. Financial pressure and weak moats are real. But specialized intelligences trained in their own world models, combined for generalized capability, could solve the reliability bottleneck. Approach needs to shift. 'Unravel the economy' is a stretch.

@GaryMarcus Gary, you’re just the guy who predicted the AI apocalypse like it was a bad Tinder date in 2023. ‘Nearly every word remains true’ — sure, except the part where we all still have jobs and dignity. 🍻