What happens when we reach recursive self-improvement?
Where will the bottleneck be? Chips? Energy? Still humans?
New essay by @benitoz ->
https://briefing.forwardfuture.ai/p/the-bottleneck-migrates
What happens when we reach recursive self-improvement?
Where will the bottleneck be? Chips? Energy? Still humans?
New essay by @benitoz ->
https://briefing.forwardfuture.ai/p/the-bottleneck-migrates
Positive users agreed with the essay on bottlenecks after AI recursive self-improvement, while negative users expressed strong concerns about power struggles and dismissed the ideas by stressing real constraints like energy and physics.
"Recursive self-improvement does not lift the ceiling on AI progress. It just moves the ceiling somewhere else."
Most people don't understand this. We aren't suddenly going to have infinite productivity because we have infinite intelligence. Systems will always have bottlenecks and our economy is no exception.
What happens when we reach recursive self-improvement?
Where will the bottleneck be? Chips? Energy? Still humans?
New essay by @benitoz ->
https://briefing.forwardfuture.ai/p/the-bottleneck-migrates

@MatthewBerman @benitoz Love this! totally agree

@MatthewBerman @benitoz Some hunger for power like the need for air. They will not give up without being pounded down.

@MatthewBerman @benitoz People at first will absolutely be the primary obstacle. Example: unions will fight tooth and nail to hamper automation

@MatthewBerman @benitoz Let's hope it's not atoms, because that's what our planet's is made of.

@MatthewBerman The physical world is way harder to scale than software 🎯

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@MatthewBerman @benitoz Energy, in the US. Nothing in China.

@MatthewBerman @benitoz My theory: We are observing our thoughts, we are not our thoughts, so i think when we hit recursive self improvement we will have way more thoughts to observe. The perfect UI is invisible to us and the maximum will be full integration into us, in whatever way we can imagine.

@MatthewBerman common sense to some, but so illusive to others ...

@MatthewBerman We are already bottlenecked by the core technology that makes LLMs work. We simply scale up hopeful for emergent behaviors that don't seem to come.
Recursive self improvement is cope. It's just more scale and more token burn.

@MatthewBerman @benitoz Regulations? Maybe not as big of a problem in the US as here in Europe

@tomas_hk @benitoz Systems will system

@MatthewBerman the bottleneck just moves but it never disappears
humans still owning the slowest part of the loop

@MatthewBerman just physics man, constraints are real...

@MatthewBerman @benitoz Energy will be the limit/robots ability to deploy solar panels fast enough

@MatthewBerman Yep. Intelligence isn't a magic wand. The constraint just moves and suddenly everyone remembers physics.

@MatthewBerman @benitoz I cannot believe I can say these things as legitimate possibilities around corner to be concerned with.

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What happens when we reach recursive self-improvement?
Where will the bottleneck be? Chips? Energy? Still humans?
New essay by @benitoz ->
https://briefing.forwardfuture.ai/p/the-bottleneck-migrates