In an Oct. 24 analysis, Apollo chief economist Torsten Slok argues that AI has delivered no financial payoff to corporate America outside tech. Revenue per worker and profit margins are rising for the Magnificent Seven but flat for the S&P 493, he writes. Slok also sees no sign of AI boosting productivity growth. His conclusion rests on those broad measures, not a claim that no individual business has benefited.
Slok argues that mainstream companies are starting to treat spending on AI tokens as a cost that weighs on margins, while venture-capital-backed companies are spending more on tokens. He expects AI's macroeconomic effects to be limited if agentic AI and token spending remain confined to a small part of the economy. His question is whether increasingly cheap AI models can eventually help mainstream businesses raise revenue growth and profit margins.
What the company figures might miss
Brad DeLong agrees that current AI tools do not look very useful yet for existing S&P 493 companies. But he argues that benefits to users, new businesses and the possibility of established platforms locking in customers could matter more than measured GDP or non-tech profits. That does not contradict Slok's comparison of existing firms' results; it raises a different question about where an AI payoff might show up.