Positive users see China's battery sales tax as strengthening CATL via market growth and margin of safety, while negative users lament resulting repeated layoffs.
Based on 5 visible X reactions from 5 accounts; directional sample.
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The policy shift benefits market leaders CATL and BYD.
@capitalatrisk23 Yeah. I assume all customers with at minimum dual source if not triple source. But I think the growth in TAM (inc ESS and grid) more than offsets any share loss. I say "think" case i obviously havent done the numbers, operating on vibes here.
@pandawatch88 I'll wait for H-share CATL to compress. Tier 2 makers overfit to subsidies; prune them and the network gets stronger. 25x PE is a buy if the tax shock doesn't blow up the loss. Same playbook as EVs.
@pandawatch88 I still have some « margin of safety » on my CATL HKD purchase, Buffet would be proud
Positive users see China's battery sales tax as strengthening CATL via market growth and margin of safety, while negative users lament resulting repeated layoffs.
Based on 5 visible X reactions from 5 accounts; directional sample.
Ask a question below.
Published answers will appear here.