Bottlenecks, or demand saturation?
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-much-more-software-do-we-really
Bottlenecks, or demand saturation?
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-much-more-software-do-we-really
The justification that everyone is giving for Karpathy's perspective is "bottlenecks and weak links". Those are real, but I think everyone is underrating the importance of demand saturation.
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-much-more-software-do-we-really
Andrej Karpathy thinks AGI's impact on the economy will just be folded into the existing rate of growth. AI will be barely noticeable in GDP statistics.
When he came on the show, I pushed back, saying AGI will cause a massive jump in productivity and growth.
Watch our back-and-forth on this:

@Noahpinion Would you like me to generate a summary of all your tweets?

@Noahpinion Also, what does demand look like with a shrinking population?

@The_Brian_Life Only if it involved you reading them first
Bottlenecks, or demand saturation?
https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-much-more-software-do-we-really