/Tech11h ago

AI Acceleration Of Knowledge Work May Deliver Little Productivity Gain

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The justification that everyone is giving for Karpathy's perspective is "bottlenecks and weak links". Those are real, but I think everyone is underrating the importance of demand saturation.

https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/how-much-more-software-do-we-really

Dwarkesh Patel@dwarkesh_sp

Andrej Karpathy thinks AGI's impact on the economy will just be folded into the existing rate of growth. AI will be barely noticeable in GDP statistics.

When he came on the show, I pushed back, saying AGI will cause a massive jump in productivity and growth.

Watch our back-and-forth on this:

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Noah Mullins@NoahMullins

@Noahpinion Also, what does demand look like with a shrinking population?

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