Eric Topol Calls AI Disease Cure Timelines Wildly Off-Base
Physician-scientist supports AI in health while rejecting recent cure timelines as unrealistic.
Eric Topol posted that he supports AI having a transformational impact on human health but finds cure projections wildly off-base and impossible. Gary Marcus retweeted the statement in agreement. Chris J. Maddison quoted the post to note that credibility is lost when people claim five to ten years to cure all human disease because most diseases cannot even be measured. Kevin A. Scott added that a major AI drug discovery player predicted ten FDA approved drugs within ten years yet none have passed phase II trials. Chris Chatham replied that the measurement gap includes missing biomarkers, clinical assessments, trial sites, and animal models.
I'm keen on AI having a transformational impact on human health. But these cure projections are wildly off-base and impossible.
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7 posts@EricTopol Do you think so based on your intuition as a doctor, or do you know specific key facts that you think make this impossible? (…er, this sounds adversarial but I mean I trust the intuition of experienced professionals, so I’m just curious which one it is, or both)
So much credibility is lost when folks say 5-10 years to cure all human disease. We can't even measure most of human disease!
I'm keen on AI having a transformational impact on human health. But these cure projections are wildly off-base and impossible.
I'm keen on AI having a transformational impact on human health. But these cure projections are wildly off-base and impossible.
By “can’t measure” we mean no (a) biomarkers (b) no clinical outcome assessments (c) no trial sites (d) no good animal models. So, yeah, it’s not just about (nor even mostly about) folding proteins and identifying binding pockets
So much credibility is lost when folks say 5-10 years to cure all human disease. We can't even measure most of human disease! https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/2089032798866972705
ten years ago someone from a major AI drug discovery player said that "in ten years we will have ten FDA approved drugs" and ten years later exactly zero have even passed Ph II trials.
So much credibility is lost when folks say 5-10 years to cure all human disease. We can't even measure most of human disease! https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/2089032798866972705
ten years ago someone from a major AI drug discovery player said that "in ten years we will have ten FDA approved drugs" and ten years later exactly zero have even passed Ph II trials.
So much credibility is lost when folks say 5-10 years to cure all human disease. We can't even measure most of human disease! https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/2089032798866972705
