/Tech5h ago

Epoch AI co-founder Jaime Sevilla says real-world AI benchmark performance is progressing faster than median predictions set by forecasters

Multiple companies targeting specific capabilities have accelerated development timelines

339394.5K

Original post

Teortaxes▶️ (DeepSeek 推特🐋铁粉 2023 – ∞)@teortaxesTex#501inTech

Every year, the median forecast undershoots progress It's extremely hard to update fast enough when very capable companies are targeting the same capabilities you're predicting

Greg Burnham@GregHBurnham

Checking in on the benchmarks in the AI 2026 forecasting survey, halfway through the year...

9:46 AM · Jul 2, 2026 · 2.6K Views

Sentiment

Sentiment building, check back later.

Cluster Engagement

Digg Deeper

No Digg Deeper questions have been answered for this story yet.

Posts from X

Most Activity

Michal Mráz@michalmrazz

@Jsevillamol I’m probably misunderstanding but isn’t current score < median forecast in each benchmark?

5h10