I think it’s quite unlikely that humans could be *irreversibly* disempowered by AI until we’re in a world where when you look out your window you’re like “Yup, everything’s being done by robots”
Policy Expert Argues Full Robot Automation Needed for Irreversible AI Disempowerment
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This is “irreversible” in the sense of “if every human immediately made it their top priority could we stop it” not “could we stop it after accounting for everyone’s economic incentives and coordination problems”. We might get “locked in” to a bad world much earlier
I think it’s quite unlikely that humans could be *irreversibly* disempowered by AI until we’re in a world where when you look out your window you’re like “Yup, everything’s being done by robots”
(Wish I could talk to people in Ukraine about this, and how bad they predict it would be if all of their robots turned on them at once)
Counterpoint: This didn’t seem necessary for the Incas. Maybe a small group of military robots aimed at the social command and control structure is enough
Counterpoint: This didn’t seem necessary for the Incas. Maybe a small group of military robots aimed at the social command and control structure is enough
If the day has come where when I look out my window I think “Yup, everything’s being done by robots”, I will try to remember to say that here (although it wouldn’t be sufficient for danger of AI takeover)
If the day has come where when I look out my window I think “Yup, everything’s being done by robots”, I will try to remember to say that here (although it wouldn’t be sufficient for danger of AI takeover)
This is “irreversible” in the sense of “if every human immediately made it their top priority could we stop it” not “could we stop it after accounting for everyone’s economic incentives and coordination problems”. We might get “locked in” to a bad world much earlier
Actually wait the Incas thing is just an instance of lock in vs total irreversibility
(Wish I could talk to people in Ukraine about this, and how bad they predict it would be if all of their robots turned on them at once)

@ChrisPainterYup I was thinking of exactly this distinction, and the military and equivalent social counterpoints you raise below, and... you mostly raised this.