/Tech1h ago

Forecaster Nathan Young argues AI extinction is highly improbable but not absurd, comparing early skepticism to COVID-19 in early 2020

Richard Ngo pressed Young to define the specific probability.

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Richard Ngo@RichardMCNgo#363inTech

@NathanpmYoung what does very unlikely mean here?

Nathan 🔎@NathanpmYoung

I think it’s very unlikely that AI kills us all, but not impossible or absurd. If you have never taken time to consider it, I recommend doing so. Like Harlan I was early on covid:

6:37 PM · Jun 23, 2026 · 362 Views

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