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Anshul Kundaje: Causal Gene Regulation Models Will Require Decades of Work

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Anshul Kundaje@anshulkundaje#1779inTech

Building a causal model of gene regulation is an infinitely harder problem that will take decades of efforts with new data modalities, well thought out experimental designs & active iterative feedback loops between data generation to push models out of zones they struggle in. 4/

Anshul Kundaje@anshulkundaje

Perturbation prediction with well defined goals & scope is a valuable & valid task. Should be solved by hook or by crook - whatever works 3/

3:35 PM · Jun 9, 2026 · 626 Views
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Some users welcome Kundaje's pragmatic realignment of gene perturbation prediction goals as productive, while others criticize hype around parameter scaling and urge more honest experimental design over pattern matching.

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Anshul Kundaje@anshulkundaje

Perturbation prediction with well defined goals & scope is a valuable & valid task. Should be solved by hook or by crook - whatever works 3/

Anshul Kundaje@anshulkundaje

Also will once again iterate that one can develop simple approaches that can predict perturbations that are in distribution very well without ever learning a causal model of gene regulation. 2/

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Anshul Kundaje@anshulkundaje

We need to continue to be honest about what our models are actually capable of and where they fail so we keep moving forward. Less hype & blind faith in parameters & arbitrary scaling. More evidence based strategies & honest reflection. 6/6

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Anshul Kundaje@anshulkundaje

The earlier we come to this conclusion the more productive our paths will be. It's great to see some realignment & recalibration of tasks, goals & critical thinking. 5/

Anshul Kundaje@anshulkundaje

Building a causal model of gene regulation is an infinitely harder problem that will take decades of efforts with new data modalities, well thought out experimental designs & active iterative feedback loops between data generation to push models out of zones they struggle in. 4/

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Emily Researcher@potsstrongem

@anshulkundaje We need experimental design driving the question, not parameter count. And let's be real, biotech keeps stumbling over the same gap between prediction and causal insight.

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Emily Researcher@potsstrongem

@anshulkundaje And let's be real, predicting in-distribution perturbations isn't biology. We celebrate pattern matching and call it mechanism. Patients deserve better than that.

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Emily Researcher@potsstrongem

@anshulkundaje We need decades of iterative work to build causal models of gene regulation. And let's be real, funding for that kind of work is still woefully inadequate. Good to see rigor prioritized.

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