Europe 2031 report warns of economic decline as three US labs each hold more AI compute than the continent
The analysis projects a 12.3-fold US compute advantage by 2031
The analysis projects a 12.3-fold US compute advantage by 2031
The analysis projects a 12.3-fold US compute advantage by 2031
The analysis projects a 12.3-fold US compute advantage by 2031

@DadaJudith Listening to it at the moment. It's very well done.

@bakkermichiel excellent timing!
One of our goals in writing AI 2027 was to encourage others to create their own detailed scenario forecasts; I am pleased to see this happening with Europe 2031. It depicts a world different from what I expect (AI capabilities in this scenario are more mild/mundane, not true AGI or RSI afaict, at least not until the mid-thirties) and also a luckier world than I expect (the AI race goes full steam ahead and yet results in the US staying democratic and maintaining control of its AIs even as they scale... perhaps this is related to the no-true-AGI aspect of the scenario, come to think of it. That would make sense.) Nevertheless I'm glad this scenario exists and I think it makes some good points about what it would actually look like to implement the "sovereign AI" default plan, and why it wouldn't work out so well. I wish it said more about what the EU should be gearing up to *do* with its leverage though. By default I expect the EU to waste what leverage it has on things that don't matter that much.
This is an amazing read. Like AI 2027, it's a great way to spend some time thinking about the future and feels very plausible That said, it's already overtaken by recent events thanks to the USG pulling Mythos and Fable already. This should help Europe wake up faster hopefully https://twitter.com/bakkermichiel/status/2064996557162680827
What will happen to Europe if it keeps ignoring AI?" Three American labs each (!!) operate more AI compute than all of Europe combined. Today we're launching Europe 2031: a story of what might happen if that doesn't change. https://x.com/bakkermichiel/status/2064996557162680827/photo/1
This was a good post though I think it is interesting how much vivid science fiction scenarios have become the new default format for policy papers & financial analysis for AI. https://twitter.com/tomchivers/status/2064968987218199033
Essential content for anyone who cares about Europe's future in a world of AI acceleration! https://twitter.com/DadaJudith/status/2065011257652961348
i am unsure if anyone who actually needs to read this will, but here goes: https://europe2031.ai/
https://x.com/Miles_Brundage/status/2065554475906175231/photo/1
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