Some users praised China's technical foundation advancing FFSC methalox engines and narrowing the Starship gap, while others expressed anxiety over Western catching up via copying or over-reliance on single individuals.
Based on 3 visible X reactions from 4 accounts; directional sample.
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@teortaxesTex crazy how one person is carrying the industrial capacity of western civilization
@teortaxesTex 这波技术底蕴确实有点东西
@teortaxesTex 全靠抄作业追赶确实会让人很焦虑
By 2031, I think Zhuque-4-type projects are roughly where Starship is now. By 2032, 3-5 are reliable. By 2033-2035 they have an industry for lightcone processing and there's a skull chart event on launch cadence. And their ground infrastructure is reconfigured to produce *lots* of rockets. Dude, they put like 20 million tons of steel per year into the sea, in the form of commercial ships. That's about 1 million Starships. If they put their mind to it, there wouldn't be enough methane in the world to feed it. Not enough carbon in the atmosphere, probably. By that point, Elon wants to have made progress on the Moon mass driver and self-sustaining robotic civilization, which lets him ignore that China eclipses total SpaceX off-planet volume them's the stakes
China won't need a lot of espionage. I think it's fundamentally misunderstood just *HOW CLOSE* Starship-related expertise is to their wheelhouse. They make FFSC engines like pancakes. Starship is a bet on a fairly short window of opportunity. 5-6 years of saturating the orbit. https://x.com/teortaxesTex/status/2076448525173317732/photo/1 https://twitter.com/vizience/status/2076428438177530263
@teortaxesTex crazy how one person is carrying the industrial capacity of western civilization
By 2031, I think Zhuque-4-type projects are roughly where Starship is now. By 2032, 3-5 are reliable. By 2033-2035 they have an industry for lightcone processing and there's a skull chart event on launch cadence. And their ground infrastructure is reconfigured to produce *lots* of rockets. Dude, they put like 20 million tons of steel per year into the sea, in the form of commercial ships. That's about 1 million Starships. If they put their mind to it, there wouldn't be enough methane in the world to feed it. Not enough carbon in the atmosphere, probably. By that point, Elon wants to have made progress on the Moon mass driver and self-sustaining robotic civilization, which lets him ignore that China eclipses total SpaceX off-planet volume them's the stakes
China won't need a lot of espionage. I think it's fundamentally misunderstood just *HOW CLOSE* Starship-related expertise is to their wheelhouse. They make FFSC engines like pancakes. Starship is a bet on a fairly short window of opportunity. 5-6 years of saturating the orbit. https://x.com/teortaxesTex/status/2076448525173317732/photo/1 https://twitter.com/vizience/status/2076428438177530263
By 2036, assuming there's been no war with fractional orbital bombardment (which Starship trivially enables), or AGI-related Total Burger Victory, the Chinese also start seriously eating the Moon, using their vastly larger industrial base to speed past early American stake. Elon bets on having made it further into the deep space at that point, I guess.
Some users praised China's technical foundation advancing FFSC methalox engines and narrowing the Starship gap, while others expressed anxiety over Western catching up via copying or over-reliance on single individuals.
Based on 3 visible X reactions from 4 accounts; directional sample.
Ask a question below.
Published answers will appear here.
By 2036, assuming there's been no war with fractional orbital bombardment (which Starship trivially enables), or AGI-related Total Burger Victory, the Chinese also start seriously eating the Moon, using their vastly larger industrial base to speed past early American stake. Elon bets on having made it further into the deep space at that point, I guess.