Thanks!
A few Bayes points are owed to @DavidSKrueger today, I think - the events of last night seem to fit reasonably well with "actually pausing is more tenable than you'd think"
Commentators say recent events provide empirical support for his thesis
Thanks!
A few Bayes points are owed to @DavidSKrueger today, I think - the events of last night seem to fit reasonably well with "actually pausing is more tenable than you'd think"
Users rejected claims that recent events show an AI development pause is feasible.

@CharlesD353 @DavidSKrueger No

@sullyj3 @DavidSKrueger I agree this likely won't last long, I didn't make any claim about that

@deepfates @CharlesD353 @DavidSKrueger You're opposed to Bayes points to anyone who didn't literally predict exactly what happened, or you think it's not actually tenable to have government force a pause even after the recent events?

@CharlesD353 @DavidSKrueger I'm willing to predict that this won't last long

@CharlesD353 @DavidSKrueger seems unclear for now, let's see if the US admin applies the same standards to all AI developers, not just the one they seem to hate (the most)

@BogdanIonutCir2 @DavidSKrueger I didn't say it was clear now that a pause is tenable, just that this was evidence in that direction.