Positive users praise the solar chart analogy for showing how AI's exponential growth outpaces expert predictions, while negative users object to its high costs unlike solar's self-paying returns.
Based on 6 visible X reactions from 43 accounts; directional sample.
Ask a question below.
Published answers will appear here.
@emollick People keep underestimating how fast AI is improving because they think in straight lines. The chart shows reality bending upward. Most predictions fail because they assume today’s best is close to the ceiling. In AI, the ceiling keeps moving.
@emollick the solar chart is such a perfect analogy for how people underestimate compounding progress AI feels like its following the same curve right now
@emollick The difference is Solar pays for itself whereas "AI" drills a mantle like hole in budgets without a bottom.
@FaintlyBased @emollick Learn underwater welding. This may buy you an additional few months.
@emollick The growth curve always outpaces predictions from folks who do not get the pace
@emollick People keep underestimating how fast AI is improving because they think in straight lines. The chart shows reality bending upward. Most predictions fail because they assume today’s best is close to the ceiling. In AI, the ceiling keeps moving.
@emollick the solar chart is such a perfect analogy for how people underestimate compounding progress AI feels like its following the same curve right now
@emollick The difference is Solar pays for itself whereas "AI" drills a mantle like hole in budgets without a bottom.
@FaintlyBased @emollick Learn underwater welding. This may buy you an additional few months.
@emollick The growth curve always outpaces predictions from folks who do not get the pace
@emollick This is so conceptually clarifying. Great visualization.
I have been thinking about the famous chart showing how experts keep projecting linear growth in solar installations, year after year, and always get it wrong when growth is still exponential. I think the same thing is happening with the discourse on product strategy around AI. https://x.com/emollick/status/2076381870636388469/photo/1
An example of the original graph https://x.com/emollick/status/2076382836936810953/photo/1
Positive users praise the solar chart analogy for showing how AI's exponential growth outpaces expert predictions, while negative users object to its high costs unlike solar's self-paying returns.
Based on 6 visible X reactions from 43 accounts; directional sample.
Ask a question below.
Published answers will appear here.
@emollick This is so conceptually clarifying. Great visualization.
I have been thinking about the famous chart showing how experts keep projecting linear growth in solar installations, year after year, and always get it wrong when growth is still exponential. I think the same thing is happening with the discourse on product strategy around AI. https://x.com/emollick/status/2076381870636388469/photo/1