P(doom)s of 0 and 1 betray a lack of imagination
8:01 PM · Jun 20, 2026 · 1.8K Views
AVERI executive director Miles Brundage argues that a P(doom) of exactly zero or one shows a failure to understand uncertainty
Joscha Bach parodied the risk metric using imaginary numbers.
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Users criticized Miles Brundage's claim that absolute AI doom probabilities are unimaginative, arguing instead that doomers are not far off.
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Joscha Bach@Plinz
@Miles_Brundage my p(doom) is sqrt(pi)*i
Miles Brundage@Miles_Brundage
P(doom)s of 0 and 1 betray a lack of imagination
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Mild Mannered Maniac@80sGeek
@Miles_Brundage This isn't great, the pdoomers aren't very far off now :)
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Hunter Gon@gonlenidefi
@Miles_Brundage or maybe im just more realistic than imaginative
either way im not betting on 0 or 1
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