Open Source Competition Burns AI Capital For Humanity's Benefit
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The surest way to a dystopian hellhole is centralization, but the fastest pace of development is one where participants think they can capture the whole market and burn as much capital as quickly to capture it. The best outcome for humanity is likely in the end, open source is so competitive with centralized frontier models there is no monopoly, the private capital deployed is never recouped, and OpenAI and Anthropic never justify their valuations. This means the money was ultimately burned for the benefit of all humanity and gains placed into an open source resource, just as their charter originally stated. Maximum irony in the maximum closed for-profit non-profit ultimately being non-profitable and birthing its open-source successor. therefore likely
then again the lightcone is infinite so who is to say about valuations etc... but it will be clear if theres a monopoly or not