Would be so *hilarious* if OpenAI lost the race because they bought the Q*/ reasoning meme (together with The Genius Noam Brown, who now defends it nervously on every turn). Weren't cynical enough about LLMs being ad hoc memoization machines. And Dario was just that cynical.
The more I look at Fable across benchmarks, the more questions I have to OpenAI. WHERE. ARE. THE. BIG. MODELS.
What happened to scaling? What happened to the infra/experience they've got with 4.5?
Openai is losing the fields they were constantly winning on, science being the most important one. I thought there'd be an analogue of Project Glasswing but for Science, big results, etc., and yes, technically we got some, but the scale of discoveries is meh. I'm pretty convinced A\ can do almost everything that OAI can in the science field now.
And, more importantly, as far as I understand it, both companies will receive classified government data from Genesis Mission, so there will be no moat (kek).
sad day for OAI fans, including myself.



