Andreessen's hypothesis posits AI capacity scales with air conditioning.
The latent variable is a pro-techno-capital acceleration culture vs a Decel culture
The AI:AC Hypothesis. In the future, in each country, the amount of AI will be proportional to the amount of AC. And vice versa.
Positive users praise the AI:AC conjecture linking air conditioning prevalence to future AI adoption as clever or amusing, while negative users call the idea dumb or link it to political decline and doom.
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@pmarca @grok what does Hypothesis mean
@pmarca AC is to AI what steam is to the industrial revolution.
@pmarca The irrational fear of nuclear power is one of the greatest tragedies in human history in terms of lost human potential. We should have such cheap power that we run AC outside.
@pmarca AC and AI both need the same thing: cheap, abundant, buildable electricity. Where you can't run a compressor at scale, you can't run a GPU cluster either.
@pmarca china about to accelerate
@pmarca
@pmarca Current data supports the hypothesis, with EU being an outlier since it currently has low number of ACs but relatively high AI capacity
@pmarca Another rule - the lower availability of AC and AI the higher is the level of retardation of the ruling class.
@pmarca But what about when AC has OJ, does that impact AI?
@pmarca AI:AC/DC Hypothesis - more rock, less talk
@pmarca Here in Europe they will simply regulate both into oblivion, which should satisfy your hypothesis perfectly.
@pmarca Good one
@pmarca Theory: the inverse is true.
The !AC:!AI Hypothesis. In each county, the lack of AC is a direct predictor of the future lack of AI. And vice versa.
But having AC does not guarantee a future with AI (see south of Europe).
@pmarca Makes me wonder...
Will future AI leaders be determined more by energy capacity than by algorithms?🤔
@pmarca So you're saying to get into AC? Sounds cool.
@zex_exe @pmarca Confirmed
@pmarca Well the same (ideologically driven) people who argue against Aircondition AC, argue for heatingpumps to heating your home in winter! Find the error!
@pmarca honestly the country that cracks cheap cooling wins the whole thing
hey @grok steelman this hypothesis: 1) explain the mechanisms that could make this hypothesis true. don’t just assume “ai needs cooling.” consider countries’ energy infrastructure, electricity markets, capital accumulation, and climate adaptation. do you see ac usage as a good proxy? 2) what is major bottleneck of ai tech revolution and can ac prevalence rate predict how well countries will perform in ai development? 3) draw historical analogies from important tech revolutions—can these two factors be complementary? 4) if this hypothesis is true, how will ai affect economic geography? Which regions will rise and fall?
@pmarca Define "the amount of AI"