/Tech4h ago

Gary Marcus argues AI catastrophe warnings are overblown, while David Manheim says advanced models like Mythos carry an over 1% risk

Marcus compared current catastrophic AI fears to GPT-2 panic.

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Gary Marcus#178
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Gary Marcus@GaryMarcus#178inTech

@davidmanheim @DavidSacks @zerohedge @stratechery they were terrified of GPT-2. definitely into boy who cried wolf territory.

David Manheim@davidmanheim

@GaryMarcus @DavidSacks @zerohedge @stratechery It's not quite "scaremongering" if they believe it. So yeah, it's possible that Anthropic is overhyping the threat from AI. It's also possible there are catastrophic risks from AU, and they either have less risk tolerance or longer time horizons for what they care about than you.

10:48 AM · Jun 11, 2026 · 182 Views
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Gary Marcus@GaryMarcus

@davidmanheim @DavidSacks @zerohedge @stratechery i don’t know anymore what they think. but see other reply.

David Manheim@davidmanheim

@GaryMarcus @DavidSacks @zerohedge @stratechery But you agree they were actually scared, right? Because their actions make at least as much sense, if not more, if they are actually scared, and the crying wolf is oversensitivity or much lower risk tolerance. (Rather than strategic dishonesty, as was implied.)

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Gary Marcus@GaryMarcus

@davidmanheim @DavidSacks @zerohedge @stratechery which is not to say there aren’t real fears.

but what would they should have said is “don’t panic; we have this new thing; it needs attention, but we will do our best to fix it and probably can. still the broader issues very much need attention.”

Gary Marcus@GaryMarcus

@davidmanheim @DavidSacks @zerohedge @stratechery they were terrified of GPT-2. definitely into boy who cried wolf territory.

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David Manheim@davidmanheim

@GaryMarcus @DavidSacks @zerohedge @stratechery But you agree they were actually scared, right? Because their actions make at least as much sense, if not more, if they are actually scared, and the crying wolf is oversensitivity or much lower risk tolerance. (Rather than strategic dishonesty, as was implied.)

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David Manheim@davidmanheim

@GaryMarcus @DavidSacks @zerohedge @stratechery You're still asserting that they think they can fix the problems, that there is trivially low risk from current models.

And I don't think they'd claim that releasing Mythos fully is very likely to end up causing a global catastrophe, but I think they put a >1% probability on it.

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