/Tech4h ago

Dylan Patel says Anthropic model refusals drove users to OpenAI, dropping Claude's API share from 95% to 73% in three days

Story Overview

After Anthropic launched Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on June 9, power users at SemiAnalysis testing the models ran into frequent nonsensical refusals that prompted them to try OpenAI's Codex instead, producing a visible shift in daily token share away from Claude's API offering.

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Original post
Dylan Patel@dylan522p#170inTech

Usage share of OpenAI grew vs Anthropic yesterday despite Mythos 5 / Fable 5 launch Multiple power users at SemiAnalysis tried Mythos / Fable Got refusals for nonsensical reasons Got pissed off at Anthropic Gave Codex a legitimate try Now they actually prefer it to 4.8 Opus

8:14 AM · Jun 10, 2026 · 118.9K Views
Switching Friction

Power users expose quick preference flips

Several testers who switched during the trial period reported preferring Codex over the new Claude variants, underscoring how easily usage can migrate when friction stays low.

Open Question

Refusal behavior remains only partly mapped

Anthropic notes the classifiers trigger on average in under 5 percent of sessions and can fall back to prior models, yet the frequency of harmless refusals in real workloads stays unclear beyond the initial SemiAnalysis observations.

Sentiment

Many users prefer OpenAI Codex over Anthropic Opus after model refusals because it executes without second-guessing or paternalism, while some call Codex unreliable or trash.

Pos
66.7%
Neg
33.3%
9 comments with sentiment.
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Gergely Orosz@GergelyOrosz

I will be honest:

1. Since Opus 4.7 I get pushback in unexpected ways from Anthropic models

2. GPT-5.5 doesn't do this

When I know what I want to do, I prefer #2. I don't like a vendor knowing better what I do, how I do it, with zero transparency. I humor Opus but like GPT...

Dylan Patel@dylan522p

Usage share of OpenAI grew vs Anthropic yesterday despite Mythos 5 / Fable 5 launch Multiple power users at SemiAnalysis tried Mythos / Fable Got refusals for nonsensical reasons Got pissed off at Anthropic Gave Codex a legitimate try Now they actually prefer it to 4.8 Opus

3hViews 20KLikes 127Bookmarks 17
RETWEETS47
Dylan Patel@dylan522p

Usage share of OpenAI grew vs Anthropic yesterday despite Mythos 5 / Fable 5 launch Multiple power users at SemiAnalysis tried Mythos / Fable Got refusals for nonsensical reasons Got pissed off at Anthropic Gave Codex a legitimate try Now they actually prefer it to 4.8 Opus

4hViews 118.9KLikes 1.2KBookmarks 160
Steve Hou@stevehou

Is AI via API calls a good business with so little if any loyalty or stickiness?

Dylan Patel@dylan522p

Usage share of OpenAI grew vs Anthropic yesterday despite Mythos 5 / Fable 5 launch Multiple power users at SemiAnalysis tried Mythos / Fable Got refusals for nonsensical reasons Got pissed off at Anthropic Gave Codex a legitimate try Now they actually prefer it to 4.8 Opus

3hViews 4.4KLikes 12Bookmarks 1
Dylan Patel@dylan522p

@VijarKohli Nah the model is materially worse still outside multi-modality

4hViews 1.4KLikes 38
Dickson Pau@DicksonPau

@dylan522p Cannot believe it took you guys so long to realize GPT-5.5 in codex is a better experience than Opus 4.8

4hViews 587Likes 11
Vijar Kohli@VijarKohli

@dylan522p No love for Gemini?

4hViews 1.7KLikes 1

@dylan522p Codex is significantly better than CC

4hViews 507Likes 6
Andrew Mayne@AndrewMayne

👀

Dylan Patel@dylan522p

Usage share of OpenAI grew vs Anthropic yesterday despite Mythos 5 / Fable 5 launch Multiple power users at SemiAnalysis tried Mythos / Fable Got refusals for nonsensical reasons Got pissed off at Anthropic Gave Codex a legitimate try Now they actually prefer it to 4.8 Opus

3hViews 1.8KLikes 3Bookmarks 0
Ben Cohen@blc_16

@dylan522p @zephyr_z9 Wait the split is this bad? Codex has been better for a while

4hViews 612Likes 3

@dylan522p Codex 5.2+ is legit significantly better for real proejcts than Opus. 5.5 is WIP.

I found Fable crushed a project Codex was stuck on for weeks tho, with GPT pro also failing to unstick.

OpenAI seems to be limiting the near unlimited Pro compute finally, too xD

1hViews 40Likes 1
Chairman Meow@SVBriskmanager

@dylan522p @zephyr_z9 Bro just @ Dario at this point lmfao

4hViews 514Likes 2
Daksh Malik@DakshMalik47

@dylan522p we know who is most annoyed

4hViews 1.1KLikes 1
Sean@SomethingOnSnow

@dylan522p 4.8 is kind of weird. 4.7 is better. 4.8 has been a complainer for me.

4hViews 275Likes 2
Pedro Amaral@thephiloinvest

@dylan522p @zephyr_z9 • OpenAI deserves credit • Gemini should get recovery therapy • Anthropic needs to stop being misanthropic

4hViews 318Likes 1
Chestuits@Chestu_eth

@dylan522p This is what happens when refusals break workflows

frustration compounds and people actually try the alternative

4hViews 922
Jaden Tripp@jadenitripp

@dylan522p Fable is objectively the best model, but GPT-5.5 is my fav as a daily driver. Opus and Sonnet aren't worth the cost. I'm very excited for the OpenAI release that is coming soon.

3hViews 168Likes 1
Victor@victor_zhng

@dylan522p Anthropic still just dominates. I know gpt 5.5 is good. But my finance agent still uses opus 4.7... Why? I spent most of my time tuned the harness to fit Opus... But for long term, I will have to spend more time to tune GPT harness.

3hViews 521
Kappa@kappax

@dylan522p OAI and the Codex team can do the funniest thing next week, I expect they will.

2hViews 137Likes 1
Cecil@defCecil

@dylan522p @zephyr_z9 I think I see a one pixel wide blue line at the top

4hViews 377
edward farrelly@EdwardFarrelly

@dylan522p Wait till they discover 5.5 pro extended for analysis work...

2hViews 357
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