/Tech2h ago

CEO Shares Theory On US AI And SpaceX Dominance Over China

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#1028

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Matthew Prince 🌥@eastdakota#1028inTech

Having seen a lot of the rest of the world, I agree this is most likely right.

Farzad 🇺🇸 🇮🇷@farzyness

My theory is that the American empire is JUST getting started.

US has a stranglehold on Space with SpaceX, which is the next frontier for defense/war. It has a comically large lead. No one will be close for at least 20 years.

It is the leading power in AI by far - both in models and chips. China is catching up fast, but the US has an inherent mechanism that will increase the likelihood that it will win in the end - a free market + capitalism + free speech.

A free market + capitalism allows for brutal competition between companies. Free speech allows for AI models to be maximally truth seeking, which means that AIs CAN and WILL BECOME smarter than humans to the point where they can tell the truth about its leaders.

This is literally impossible in China. Try having a Chinese model that says Xi Jinping is corrupt. Good luck with that.

Then, you have a country that has more guns than people and surrounded by two massive oceans and two friendly neighbors, which means any sort of kinetic take over of the country is literally impossible.

Not to mention the US has BY FAR the best and strongest military.

The only way adversaries can hope to defeat the US is by tearing it from within by pitting us against each other. This is why it's virtually guaranteed that all the division/hatred/polarization you see within the country is fomented by China/Russia Psy Ops + propaganda efforts.

I'm not saying these aren't naturally happening in spots - America is far from perfect - but it would be naive to think our adversaries aren't pouring millions of gallons of fuel on a fire.

As long as the American public a) has the ability to exercise its free speech b) has a protected 2nd amendment c) capitalism and free markets continue to function and d) the populace is aware of how awesome America really is, it is literally impossible to stop the US's trajectory to global domination in the coming decades, especially as China's demographics continue to collapse.

It's the bottom of the 9th, the game is tied, and the US has the bases loaded. It's a 3-2 pitch.

All we need is a home run, and we win the rest of the century.

5:14 AM · Jun 15, 2026 · 49.6K Views

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Many users rejected the CEO's theory on US AI and SpaceX dominance over China by citing internal political divisions, grifting, and empire collapse patterns instead.

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87.5%

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Matthew Prince 🌥@eastdakota

With the big caveat that it can get screwed up very fast if the U.S. continues to move away from strong Rule of Law and Anti-Corruption policies.

Matthew Prince 🌥@eastdakota

Having seen a lot of the rest of the world, I agree this is most likely right.

2h3K501

Ash Thaker@ashthaker1

@eastdakota In an intergalactic war will US and China fight on opposing sides? @farzyness

1h265

Simon Boddy@simon_boddy

@eastdakota Or, advances in asymmetric warfare have left the US impotent against Iran, space is a vanity project without a business model, and in everything that actually matters China already leads, both in innovation and output. Then, in the eyes of the world, the US stands for...

1h259

Parth@datawithparth

@eastdakota Saying this is a pre-requisite to running a company in the states these days?

1h196

Max@mxschumacher

@eastdakota not enough competition in China? That's not what we're seeing in EVs, solar, ecommerce

One of the huge benefits China has is that is is able to get large scale (energy-) infrastructure projects done. Will the US figure out how to build nuclear power plants again?

1h161

Bjørn Erik Pedersen@bepsays

@eastdakota Having followed your leader on the social platforms for a while, I would say you need to stop and think again,

46m86

Tim@hiopien

@eastdakota had a look in spaceX filings?

1h76

LabsandPlanes@LabsandPlanes

@eastdakota I think the real caveat to American exceptionalism is Democrats retaking the White House. Just listen to Ro Khanna’s transformation from centrist Democrat to outright socialist.

1h47

Jan@j4nve

@eastdakota Which isn't that easy when your presidents only optimization target is his families wealth.

1h47

PayPalled@PayPalled123

@eastdakota Grifting is not a source of power

1h41

Aaron Kub@aaron_kub

@eastdakota Yes

1h40

Matt Rauscher@MRauscher

@eastdakota Drafting a linear growth prediction based on free market + capitalism on the king's birthday is ballsy.

1h37

CyrusSaladinMing@CyrusSMing

the best thing about the IPO is the billions in capital that elon gets to deploy. As the story went Larry Page said he would give his money to Elon. I can only hope and do believe Elon will use it to bring a lot of advanced manufacturing and processing (rare earth processing) and chip manufacturing back to the US. I only wish the our goverment can match funds. He and some people like Chamath or palmer I trust to move as much manufacturing know how back to the states. I wish he raised 200 billion. @elonmusk

19m111

Pier@Ark__PL

@eastdakota Citizen United is the caveat.

1h30

Abdallah@AAbuhashem

@eastdakota yes but his points are irrelevant for how empires fall. almost every empire i can think of fell because of internal collapse plus an external event that finishes it off

19m19

James Glenos@jamesglenos

@eastdakota 🇺🇸

1h10

Miroslav Lysyuk@miromusing

@eastdakota That's the argument George Friedman makes in The Next Hundred Years (published in 2009, and so far it's not too far off the mark). https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Next_100_Years:_A_Forecast_for_the_21st_Century

1h7

Cliton Bradley@ClifOnolfo

@eastdakota @farzyness As a millionaire living my best life, I'm giving $30k to the first 20 people who message me 'grace.' I understand that many people are struggling with bills, and I want to help reduce that burden.

1h5