The U.S. Census Bureau Just Reported the Largest Drop in Net International Migration in Decades
New estimates show that net international migration into the U.S. could drop to around 321,000 in 2026. That’s a historic low, mainly because fewer people are moving in and more people are moving out.
For expats, this could signal a shift. The U.S. may become less of a go-to destination, while more Americans might start looking abroad for work, retirement, or lifestyle changes.
If the trend continues, the U.S. could even see net negative migration for the first time in over 50 years.
The U.S. Census Bureau released new population estimates showing a historic decline in net international migration (NIM) from 2024 to 2025, caused by a decrease in immigration and an increase in emigration. The 2025 data, spanning July 1, 2024, to June 30, 2025, reflects two periods of differing immigration policies. The Census Bureau continuously improves its NIM estimation methods, making them more responsive to short-term migration fluctuations.
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