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Dan Luu · Digg

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Dan Luu

2 posts tagged by Digg

Recent posts

AI

GPT-6 Astra agents appear to use tests more effectively, but Pandoc results can't reliably rank methods

A Zstd task couldn't show whether structured fuzzing improved correctness; a harder Pandoc task yielded no reliable method ranking.

2 Sources, 2h ago, first seen 2h ago

Technology

Dan Luu Dissects Ed Zitron's AI Predictions as Mostly Wrong

Dan Luu posted an analysis comparing Ed Zitron's forecasts against actual outcomes.

15 Sources, 62d ago, first seen 62d ago

Feb 2024: "I believe we're reaching the upper limits about what generative AI can do and how accurate its outputs can be."
Wrong4
March 2024: "Have We Reached Peak AI?"; another prediction that hallucinations mean that AI progress is limited to then-current levels
Wrong
April 2024: "As I previously warned, artificial intelligence companies are running out of data ..."; another prediction that models can't improve because there's no more data
Wrong
June 2024: OpenAI growth is stalling (with the implication it will continue to stall), which will lead to some kind of collapse of OpenAI
Wrong (it could be the case that OpenAI will collapse but, if so, it won't be due to any kind of growth stall from 2024)
July 2024: "Generative AI, as I said back in March, is peaking, if it hasn't already peaked. It cannot do much more than it is currently doing, other than doing more of it faster with some new inputs"
Wrong
July 2024: "Gen...

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Dan Luu

Active on http://mastodon.social/@danluu; also trying out https://bsky.app/profile/danluu.com

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