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Max Novendstern connects Peter Thiel’s view of indefinite optimism as the weakest strategic quadrant to Vitalik Buterin’s Ethereum virtual machine and OpenAI’s early transformer scaling bets

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The thread examines open-ended technical decisions in major systems that advanced without predetermined guarantees, drawing reposts from Roon and Beff.

Original post

Thiel apparently liked to say that “indefinite optimism” was the worse of all quadrants. But that surely was the spirit Vitalik was in when he said, “maybe we stick a Virtual Machine onchain,” or OpenAI was in when they said, “maybe we crank transformers to the max.” Demanding determinateness was the midwit trap that exited you from the timeline.

2:39 PM · May 17, 2026 View on X
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"maybe we could use the stochastic physics of hardware to run probabilistic algorithms" indefinite optimism behind @extropic

Max NovendsternMax Novendstern@mnovendstern

Thiel apparently liked to say that “indefinite optimism” was the worse of all quadrants. But that surely was the spirit Vitalik was in when he said, “maybe we stick a Virtual Machine onchain,” or OpenAI was in when they said, “maybe we crank transformers to the max.” Demanding determinateness was the midwit trap that exited you from the timeline.

9:39 PM · May 17, 2026 · 133.6K Views
2:25 AM · May 18, 2026 · 4.5K Views
Max Novendstern connects Peter Thiel’s view of indefinite optimism as the weakest strategic quadrant to Vitalik Buterin’s Ethereum virtual machine and OpenAI’s early transformer scaling bets · Digg