An essay explores “smooth exponential” AI progress and robotics’ future
The author contrasts the fits and starts of individual research projects with what they see as steadier gains in AI coding models.
TLDR
“Smooth Exponentials for Robotics,” shared in September 2026, draws on Dario Amodei’s writing about a “smooth exponential” of AI capabilities. The author argues that individual research projects can stall or advance through breakthroughs, while gains in AI coding models had felt more continuous over the preceding year.
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