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Revisiting early AI predictions from effective altruist and rationalist circles
One writer says many of their predictions about AI's importance now look right, but remains skeptical of extreme forecasts.
TLDR
A writer says effective altruists and rationalists predicted a decade ago that AI would become central to the news and economy, a view he initially dismissed but now considers broadly right. He says they got many details wrong and remains skeptical of predictions that AI will kill everyone. After reading Kevin Roose's book, another poster contrasts news about Trump's first term and Brexit with an account of Dario pacing a San Francisco house at midnight, worried about AGI.
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