LightCell Energy's Danielle Fong warns safety certification delays could limit frontier AI access to labs and governments

It slows us down.

Still aren’t sure whether it is more like a speed bump or a mountain.

I disagree with Andrew.

But then I delayed Siri, the first consumer app to use AI by six weeks by asking questions that kept breaking it.

It won’t matter in the end.

China still will take over a lot.

If you are not forced to have a staggered release these days, are you even at the frontier?

is this terrible and horrifically dystopian in other ways and is the USG making these decisions seemingly very arbitrarily? also yes

@tenobrus I wrote about this, I agree.

but there is a very narrow narrow path that passes through "most of us leading overall pretty normal and happy lives right up through aligned singularity" and this is a step that stays on it

@MoonL88537 the arms race was already happening, that's what all of this has been

@tenobrus global unrestricted access to *current* frontier intelligence is almost certainly basically fine on risks and tremendously positive on benefits

I think this will fundamentally change business structures/incentives for frontier model developers. To have the sustained revenue growth that they need, they will probably start vertically integrating at a much faster pace.

@theojaffee eh yeah i mean agreed i want us to have fable back... with heavy refusals, and very plausibly with KYC

@tenobrus this is not a victory for safety, it is the complete opposite. no holds barred arms race just kicked off. all behind tightly locked doors.

@Krubbled you can do that, you can ban companies from providing unrestricted cloud GPUs for inference and training without careful controls, you can ban companies from selling GPUs at all without similar controls, so on so on.

There are no actual restricted rollout rules to sign up to AFAIK - that article seemed to conflate signing up for cross-risk, non-deployment-blocking CAISI safety testing, with this heavy handed but informal cyber stuff, on which there is AFAIK no formal framework (due eventually but not delivered yet)

@DanielleFong This is the worst scenario

@AndrewCurran_ It is not a victory for safety because this makes things more unsafe, by adding a capricious controlling government to the equation to nobody's benefit. However it will slow development, no reason to race quite as hard or be open.

@tenobrus how do you ban open source models? do you just mean banning companies from providing API access?

@santoretech Steal back. :-)

@geo_anima They move frequently.

Will move to territories with more favorable business climate.

@santoretech We need a different government that values innovating.

@_HooJR When the innovators have one hand tied behind their backs they still innovate.

And are motivated.

@tenobrus yeah, and this is a gear change. the gov didn't really get it, everything was ~being ignored. now they will insist that the most powerful model possible get built as soon as possible and be under strict the gov cntrl. the incentives and structure just flipped hard.