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A statistical look back at METR’s time horizons — and a look ahead

A post introduces 228 software tasks in its look at METR’s time horizons.

Jacob SteinhardtJS
Drew NguyenDN
2 Sources, 12h ago, first seen 12h ago

TLDR

A post presents a statistical look back at METR’s time horizons and a look ahead, opening with 228 software tasks.

Combined views

3.1K

2 Sources, first seen 12h ago

55 likes2 comments17 saves26 reposts

Combined views

3.1K

2 Sources, first seen 12h ago

55 likes2 comments17 saves26 reposts
Image: @drewtnguyen on X

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2 Sources

Drew Nguyen@drewtnguyen# A statistical look back at METR’s time horizons—and a look ahead Here are the 228 software tasks from METR’s time horizons chart, with human completion time (x) against estimated difficulty for AI (y). Does time proxy difficulty well? With @wfithian, I quantified this. 🧵12h
Jacob Steinhardt@JacobSteinhardtRT @drewtnguyen: # A statistical look back at METR’s time horizons—and a look ahead Here are the 228 software tasks from METR’s time horiz…2h
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    2 Sources

    Drew Nguyen@drewtnguyen# A statistical look back at METR’s time horizons—and a look ahead Here are the 228 software tasks from METR’s time horizons chart, with human completion time (x) against estimated difficulty for AI (y). Does time proxy difficulty well? With @wfithian, I quantified this. 🧵12h
    Jacob Steinhardt@JacobSteinhardtRT @drewtnguyen: # A statistical look back at METR’s time horizons—and a look ahead Here are the 228 software tasks from METR’s time horiz…2h
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