Chart Projects Fable 5 Running Locally on Laptops by July 2028
A Reddit chart shared on X argues that laptop-runnable open-weight models have been trailing frontier AI by about 25 months.
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Story Brief
A chart from r/LocalLLaMA on Reddit is making the rounds after X user @kimmonismus argued that if recent timelines hold, “Fable / Mythos 5-class” capability could be running on high-end consumer laptops around July 2028. The post says the observed lag between cloud-frontier models and broadly comparable laptop-runnable open-weight models averages about 24.8 months, with GPT-3-class at 37 months, GPT-3.5-class at 17 months and GPT-4-class at about 24 months.
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